We at SeatGeek believe that secondary market ticket prices are an excellent judge of fan sentiment. To see if we are right, we decided it would be interesting to look at how the average transacted price as a percent of face value compares with a more traditional judge of fan sentiment, fan confidence polling.

For our first post of the series, we decided to look at the Atlanta Braves. We partnered with Talking Chop, who provided the fan confidence poll data.

  • There appears to be a fairly strong correlation between fan confidence and the percent of face value an average Braves fan pays.
  • From the start of the season through 4/28, with the Braves playing very poorly, fan confidence fell from 83 to 51, while the percent of face value fell from 104% to 86%.
  • From 5/17 through 6/23, with the Braves playing much better, fan confidence rose from 68 to 83, while the percent of value value rose from 79% to 97%.

We plan to do more fan confidence vs. ticket price comparisons with other teams. If anyone is interested in seeing the ticketing data on a specific team and has fan confidence data (or knows where to get it), let us know.

Be sure to follow us on Twitter @SeatGeekMLB and email max@seatgeek.com with any questions or comments.